Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.000708 0.000797 0.000898 0.001009 0.001127 0.001262
2026-01-11 0.000489 0.000605 0.000736 0.000893 0.001077 0.001283 0.001531
2026-01-18 0.000413 0.000542 0.000693 0.000884 0.001115 0.001384 0.001718
2026-01-25 0.000363 0.000501 0.000671 0.000892 0.001169 0.001499 0.001921
2026-02-01 0.000321 0.000465 0.000648 0.000893 0.001208 0.001595 0.002100
2026-02-08 0.000276 0.000419 0.000607 0.000866 0.001210 0.001640 0.002215
2026-02-15 0.000240 0.000381 0.000573 0.000845 0.001214 0.001687 0.002330
2026-02-22 0.000215 0.000356 0.000553 0.000840 0.001238 0.001758 0.002475
2026-03-01 0.000194 0.000335 0.000537 0.000838 0.001264 0.001831 0.002625
2026-03-08 0.000173 0.000311 0.000515 0.000827 0.001276 0.001884 0.002748
2026-03-15 0.000155 0.000289 0.000493 0.000813 0.001283 0.001928 0.002860
2026-03-22 0.000146 0.000282 0.000495 0.000833 0.001338 0.002042 0.003067
2026-03-29 0.000136 0.000273 0.000491 0.000845 0.001382 0.002141 0.003259
2026-04-05 0.000123 0.000256 0.000475 0.000838 0.001399 0.002201 0.003399
2026-04-12 0.000111 0.000241 0.000460 0.000830 0.001412 0.002256 0.003532
2026-04-19 0.000104 0.000232 0.000454 0.000838 0.001449 0.002346 0.003715
2026-04-26 0.000095 0.000222 0.000445 0.000839 0.001475 0.002420 0.003877
2026-05-03 0.000084 0.000203 0.000422 0.000813 0.001459 0.002431 0.003946
2026-05-10 0.000074 0.000188 0.000402 0.000793 0.001449 0.002451 0.004029
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000178 0.000391 0.000789 0.001464 0.002507 0.004166
2026-05-24 0.000062 0.000170 0.000382 0.000787 0.001483 0.002570 0.004314
2026-05-31 0.000056 0.000160 0.000369 0.000776 0.001487 0.002609 0.004426
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000149 0.000355 0.000763 0.001485 0.002639 0.004525